Analysis Your Way Always

Saturday, September 19, 2009

NFL Week 2

My Bills, they actually had New England in their clutches. Why is it that something right out of left field has to always happen - if its not Scott Norwood it is somebody trying to run the ball when they shouldn't- I hope that the head coach had a little sit down with the special teams coach...

Anyways, this weekends game is a little easier. I have to think that my Bills will cover this game (-4.5 pts) and that it should be under.

Starting today I am also going to use our tool at http://www.mygametrends.com to make a few bets. I am in Canada so we have a legitimate way to bet on football games (NFL/NCAA/CFL). You can't bet on only a single game so you have to parlay a few together, it's not Vegas but it does make the games interesting (checkout http://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/index.html to see the latest lines).

Here is the ticket I am going to purchase:
I am going to put together a 4 game ticket on a $10 bet:
Game1: Take St Louis with the pts (10.5)
- Since 2003, the St. Louis Rams, when playing the Washington Redskins, are 2-1-0 Straight Up (SU), and 2-1-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 66.67% of the time (2 out of 3);
- The last two games the Rams have won ATS
Game 2: Pats (-5.5) over the Jets
- Since 2003, the New England Patriots(Away Team), when playing the NY Jets(Home Team), are 6-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 6-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS)

Game 3: Take Tennessee (-7.5) over Houston
- Since 2003, the Houston Texans, when playing the Tennessee Titans, are 3-9-0 Straight Up (SU), and 5-7-0 Against the Spread (ATS)
- The key here though is that Tennessee has covered the last 3 at home

Game 4: Oakland(+2.5) Over KC
- Since 2003, the Oakland Raiders(Away Team), when playing the Kansas City Chiefs(Home Team), are 2-4-0 Straight Up (SU), and 5-0-1 Against the Spread (ATS)
- Oakland has dominated KC at home

A $10 Point Spread Ticket pays $90

Now, if we go with a Pro-Line ticket (teams have to win games by 3 or more points for a win)
Here are my picks:
- TEN over Houston WIN Odds are 1.45
- NWO over Phil Odds are 2.45
- NE over the Jets Odds are 1.60
- SF over Seattle Odds are 2.15
- PIT over CHI Odds are 2.00

a $10 ticket pays $244.40

Please leave any comments on my Bills or send us a tweet on Twitter.

Jim

No comments:

Post a Comment