Analysis Your Way Always

Saturday, September 26, 2009

NFL Week3 - The Saints come marching in

Well last week was a bit of a gift for my Bills. They showed up in the first quarter and that was about it. Luckily, Tampa is not that strong and we prevailed.

This week is a little different. The Saints are coming to town and I can't see the Bills stopping them.
The official line has the Saints favored by six. Based on the results out of http://www.mygametrends.com we see that these two teams don't have much of a history:

Since 2003, the New Orleans Saints, when playing the Buffalo Bills, are 1-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 1-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 100.00% of the time (1 out of 1)

Here's my rundown for this week:

Saints (-6) vs Bills OU 51
- I'll take the Saints

Miami vs San Diego (-5.5) OU 44
Since 2003, the Miami Dolphins(Away Team), when playing the San Diego Chargers(Home Team), are 2-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 2-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 100.00% of the time (2 out of 2)

- Take Miami and the over

Jacksonville vs Houston (-3.5) OU 47

Since 2003, the Jacksonville Jaguars(Away Team), when playing the Houston Texans(Home Team), are 1-5-0 Straight Up (SU), and 1-5-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Over 50.00% of the time (3 out of 6)

- Taking Houston

Pittsburgh(-3.5) vs Cincinnati OU 37.5
Since 2003, the Pittsburgh Steelers(Away Team), when playing the Cincinnati Bengals(Home Team), are 7-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 7-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 71.43% of the time (5 out of 7)

- Taking Pittsburgh

Denver(-2) vs Oakland OU 37
Since 2003, the Denver Broncos(Away Team), when playing the Oakland Raiders(Home Team), are 5-1-0 Straight Up (SU), and 4-2-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Over 50.00% of the time (3 out of 6)

- taking Denver

So for a $10 Sports Select Pro Line Ticket
- New Orleans 1.6
- Miami 3.6
- Houston 1.8
- Pitt 1.6
- Denver 2.45

= 10 * 40.64 = $406.40
a $10 Point Spread ticket for the same games will yield us $160

on another note, one of our partners last week bet 5 over/under games last week using our tool as his guide (he's not a big football fan) and picked up a cool $250


Until next week.




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