Analysis Your Way Always

Saturday, September 26, 2009

NFL Week3 - The Saints come marching in

Well last week was a bit of a gift for my Bills. They showed up in the first quarter and that was about it. Luckily, Tampa is not that strong and we prevailed.

This week is a little different. The Saints are coming to town and I can't see the Bills stopping them.
The official line has the Saints favored by six. Based on the results out of http://www.mygametrends.com we see that these two teams don't have much of a history:

Since 2003, the New Orleans Saints, when playing the Buffalo Bills, are 1-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 1-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 100.00% of the time (1 out of 1)

Here's my rundown for this week:

Saints (-6) vs Bills OU 51
- I'll take the Saints

Miami vs San Diego (-5.5) OU 44
Since 2003, the Miami Dolphins(Away Team), when playing the San Diego Chargers(Home Team), are 2-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 2-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 100.00% of the time (2 out of 2)

- Take Miami and the over

Jacksonville vs Houston (-3.5) OU 47

Since 2003, the Jacksonville Jaguars(Away Team), when playing the Houston Texans(Home Team), are 1-5-0 Straight Up (SU), and 1-5-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Over 50.00% of the time (3 out of 6)

- Taking Houston

Pittsburgh(-3.5) vs Cincinnati OU 37.5
Since 2003, the Pittsburgh Steelers(Away Team), when playing the Cincinnati Bengals(Home Team), are 7-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 7-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 71.43% of the time (5 out of 7)

- Taking Pittsburgh

Denver(-2) vs Oakland OU 37
Since 2003, the Denver Broncos(Away Team), when playing the Oakland Raiders(Home Team), are 5-1-0 Straight Up (SU), and 4-2-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Over 50.00% of the time (3 out of 6)

- taking Denver

So for a $10 Sports Select Pro Line Ticket
- New Orleans 1.6
- Miami 3.6
- Houston 1.8
- Pitt 1.6
- Denver 2.45

= 10 * 40.64 = $406.40
a $10 Point Spread ticket for the same games will yield us $160

on another note, one of our partners last week bet 5 over/under games last week using our tool as his guide (he's not a big football fan) and picked up a cool $250


Until next week.




Saturday, September 19, 2009

NFL Week 2

My Bills, they actually had New England in their clutches. Why is it that something right out of left field has to always happen - if its not Scott Norwood it is somebody trying to run the ball when they shouldn't- I hope that the head coach had a little sit down with the special teams coach...

Anyways, this weekends game is a little easier. I have to think that my Bills will cover this game (-4.5 pts) and that it should be under.

Starting today I am also going to use our tool at http://www.mygametrends.com to make a few bets. I am in Canada so we have a legitimate way to bet on football games (NFL/NCAA/CFL). You can't bet on only a single game so you have to parlay a few together, it's not Vegas but it does make the games interesting (checkout http://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/index.html to see the latest lines).

Here is the ticket I am going to purchase:
I am going to put together a 4 game ticket on a $10 bet:
Game1: Take St Louis with the pts (10.5)
- Since 2003, the St. Louis Rams, when playing the Washington Redskins, are 2-1-0 Straight Up (SU), and 2-1-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Under 66.67% of the time (2 out of 3);
- The last two games the Rams have won ATS
Game 2: Pats (-5.5) over the Jets
- Since 2003, the New England Patriots(Away Team), when playing the NY Jets(Home Team), are 6-0-0 Straight Up (SU), and 6-0-0 Against the Spread (ATS)

Game 3: Take Tennessee (-7.5) over Houston
- Since 2003, the Houston Texans, when playing the Tennessee Titans, are 3-9-0 Straight Up (SU), and 5-7-0 Against the Spread (ATS)
- The key here though is that Tennessee has covered the last 3 at home

Game 4: Oakland(+2.5) Over KC
- Since 2003, the Oakland Raiders(Away Team), when playing the Kansas City Chiefs(Home Team), are 2-4-0 Straight Up (SU), and 5-0-1 Against the Spread (ATS)
- Oakland has dominated KC at home

A $10 Point Spread Ticket pays $90

Now, if we go with a Pro-Line ticket (teams have to win games by 3 or more points for a win)
Here are my picks:
- TEN over Houston WIN Odds are 1.45
- NWO over Phil Odds are 2.45
- NE over the Jets Odds are 1.60
- SF over Seattle Odds are 2.15
- PIT over CHI Odds are 2.00

a $10 ticket pays $244.40

Please leave any comments on my Bills or send us a tweet on Twitter.

Jim

Thursday, September 10, 2009

2009 NFL Season Kicks Off

As you can probably see if you have visited the Blog, we have added our Twitter and Facebook links. We will be using Twitter to send out some weekly Tweets on some of the trends for the upcoming games based on our website http://mygametrends.com.

Also, we are offering a free BETA period from Sept 10 - 22. You get full GOLD level access to the NFL,NCAAF and the CFL. All the data is up to date so go and take it for a test drive.

We are also holding a draw at the end of the BETA period for a free annual Gold Football membership - a $39.95 value!! All you have to do to enter it is send us some feedback (good, bad or ugly).

Back to my Bills...+10.5 / OU 47.5
Did you know based on the results from our site that:
Since 2003, the Buffalo Bills on the road in the Regular Season in the month of September, when playing the New England Patriots at home, are 0-2-0 Straight Up (SU), and 1-1-0 Against the Spread (ATS); Also, these games are Over 50.00% of the time (1 out of 2);

The game in 2003 was in Buffalo and they were pummeled by the Pats.

The Pats are hurting for this one, but I can't see my beloved Bills taking this one or putting a lot of points on the board.

Jim